NIFTY 50+0.19%vs T-60 baseline
USD / INR+0.52%vs T-60 baseline
INDIA VIX+5.30%vs T-60 baseline
Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)+0.28%vs T-60 baseline
Cross-Asset Reaction Window
The 10-year sovereign is shown as a gilt-fund proxy, whose value moves inversely to yields. Older events use daily closes, so the intraday windows then coincide with the daily close.
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Surprise Analysis
Surprise Deviationvs consensus, σ-scaled
▲0.0σ
Actual Print7.45%
Consensus6.50%
Macroeconomic Assessment
Source: MOSPI — CPI ↗Major CPI surprise of 5.2σ — expect volatility.
Cross-Asset Reaction MatrixExport CSV
| Asset Class | T−60 | T+30 | T+2H | T+1D |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nifty 50NIFTY · 1d | - | +0.03% | +0.03% | +0.19% |
| USD / INRUSDINR · 1d | - | +0.12% | +0.12% | +0.52% |
| India VIXVIX · 1d | - | +4.17% | +4.17% | +5.30% |
| Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)GSEC · 1d | - | +0.10% | +0.10% | +0.28% |