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CPIJUL 13, 2026

CPI Inflation at 4.38%

Source: mospi

NIFTY 50-0.64%vs T-60 baseline
USD / INR+0.95%vs T-60 baseline
INDIA VIX+12.24%vs T-60 baseline
Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)+0.14%vs T-60 baseline
Cross-Asset Reaction Window

The 10-year sovereign is shown as a gilt-fund proxy, whose value moves inversely to yields. Older events use daily closes, so the intraday windows then coincide with the daily close.

Surprise Analysis
Surprise DeviationNo consensus baseline
—

Actual Print4.38%
Consensus—

Macroeconomic Assessment

No consensus estimate was published for this release, so there is no baseline to measure a surprise against.

Source: MOSPI — CPI ↗
Cross-Asset Reaction MatrixExport CSV
Asset ClassT−60T+30T+2HT+1D
Nifty 50NIFTY · 1d-+0.02%+0.02%-0.64%
USD / INRUSDINR · 1d--0.07%-0.07%+0.95%
India VIXVIX · 1d-+8.41%+8.41%+12.24%
Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)GSEC · 1d-+0.89%+0.89%+0.14%