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Timeline
MPCAPR 05, 2018

Policy Repo Rate Held

First bi-monthly 2018-19

NIFTY 50+2.01%vs T-60 baseline
USD / INR-0.07%vs T-60 baseline
INDIA VIX-9.73%vs T-60 baseline
Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)+0.72%vs T-60 baseline
Cross-Asset Reaction Window

The 10-year sovereign is shown as a gilt-fund proxy, whose value moves inversely to yields. Older events use daily closes, so the intraday windows then coincide with the daily close.

Surprise Analysis
Surprise DeviationPolicy decision — no numeric surprise

Actual PolicyRepo Hold
ConsensusHold expected

Macroeconomic Assessment

Cautious, data-dependent approach maintained.

Source: RBI Press Release
Cross-Asset Reaction MatrixExport CSV
Asset ClassT−60T+30T+2HT+1D
Nifty 50NIFTY · 1d-+1.94%+1.94%+2.01%
USD / INRUSDINR · 1d-+0.14%+0.14%-0.07%
India VIXVIX · 1d--9.42%-9.42%-9.73%
Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)GSEC · 1d-+0.42%+0.42%+0.72%