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Timeline
MPCOCT 05, 2018

Policy Repo Rate Held

Fourth bi-monthly 2018-19

NIFTY 50-2.37%vs T-60 baseline
USD / INR-0.12%vs T-60 baseline
INDIA VIX+6.50%vs T-60 baseline
Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)-0.23%vs T-60 baseline
Cross-Asset Reaction Window

The 10-year sovereign is shown as a gilt-fund proxy, whose value moves inversely to yields. Older events use daily closes, so the intraday windows then coincide with the daily close.

Surprise Analysis
Surprise DeviationPolicy decision — no numeric surprise

Actual PolicyRepo Hold
ConsensusHold expected

Macroeconomic Assessment

Cautious, data-dependent approach maintained.

Source: RBI Press Release
Cross-Asset Reaction MatrixExport CSV
Asset ClassT−60T+30T+2HT+1D
Nifty 50NIFTY · 1d--2.67%-2.67%-2.37%
USD / INRUSDINR · 1d-+0.50%+0.50%-0.12%
India VIXVIX · 1d-+4.28%+4.28%+6.50%
Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)GSEC · 1d--0.23%-0.23%-0.23%