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Timeline
MPCAUG 08, 2025

Policy Repo Rate Held

Status quo; neutral stance maintained

NIFTY 50-0.05%vs T-60 baseline
USD / INR-0.31%vs T-60 baseline
INDIA VIX+4.53%vs T-60 baseline
Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)+0.12%vs T-60 baseline
Cross-Asset Reaction Window

The 10-year sovereign is shown as a gilt-fund proxy, whose value moves inversely to yields. Older events use daily closes, so the intraday windows then coincide with the daily close.

Surprise Analysis
Surprise DeviationPolicy decision — no numeric surprise

Actual PolicyRepo Hold
ConsensusHold expected

Macroeconomic Assessment

Cautious, data-dependent approach maintained.

Source: RBI Press Release
Cross-Asset Reaction MatrixExport CSV
Asset ClassT−60T+30T+2HT+1D
Nifty 50NIFTY · 1d--0.95%-0.95%-0.05%
USD / INRUSDINR · 1d--0.38%-0.38%-0.31%
India VIXVIX · 1d-+2.91%+2.91%+4.53%
Gilt Fund (10Y proxy)GSEC · 1d--0.12%-0.12%+0.12%